Kenya vs Ethiopia: Population Comparison 2026
Kenya
EthiopiaEthiopia has 80,265,772 more people than Kenya (2.4× as many): 138.9 million vs 58.6 million in 2026. Median age is 20.3 in Kenya and 19.3 in Ethiopia; fertility is 3.07 vs 3.72 children per woman.
Kenya
20260
people
- Median age
- 20.3
- Fertility (TFR)
- 3.07
- Working age (15–64)
- 61.2%
- Trend
- Growing (+1.92%)
Ethiopia
20260
people
- Median age
- 19.3
- Fertility (TFR)
- 3.72
- Working age (15–64)
- 58.1%
- Trend
- Growing (+2.53%)
Population pyramids, 2026
Total Population
Kenya
58.6M
vs
Ethiopia
138.9M
Youth (0-14)
Kenya
35.7%
vs
Ethiopia
38.5%
Elderly (65+)
Kenya
3.1%
vs
Ethiopia
3.4%
Where the two pyramids differ
The pyramids are overlaid so you can read the difference by age and sex: the longer bar in each band marks the country with more people of that age.
📊 Understanding the Population Difference Chart
This visualization shows where and by how much the populations differ between Kenya and Ethiopia for each age group, split by gender:
Left Side (Males)
Blue = Kenya has more males
Green = Ethiopia has more males
Right Side (Females)
Pink = Kenya has more females
Orange = Ethiopia has more females
💡 How to Read: Each age group shows up to 2 bars - one on the left (male difference) and one on the right (female difference). The bar's color tells you which country has more people, and the bar's length shows by how much. For example, if you see a green bar on the left, it means Ethiopia has more males in that age group.
Notable Differences (>20% variance):
Ages 0-4: Ethiopia has 63.3% more people
Men: 6.5M more in Ethiopia • Women: 6.1M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 3.7M men, 3.6M women • Ethiopia: 10.2M men, 9.7M women
Population Ratio
7.3M
19.9M
Ages 5-9: Ethiopia has 61.8% more people
Men: 5.7M more in Ethiopia • Women: 5.4M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 3.5M men, 3.4M women • Ethiopia: 9.2M men, 8.8M women
Population Ratio
6.9M
18.0M
Ages 10-14: Ethiopia has 56.6% more people
Men: 4.5M more in Ethiopia • Women: 4.3M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 3.4M men, 3.4M women • Ethiopia: 7.9M men, 7.7M women
Population Ratio
6.8M
15.6M
Ages 15-19: Ethiopia has 54.8% more people
Men: 4.2M more in Ethiopia • Women: 4.0M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 3.4M men, 3.4M women • Ethiopia: 7.6M men, 7.4M women
Population Ratio
6.8M
14.9M
Ages 20-24: Ethiopia has 58.0% more people
Men: 4.2M more in Ethiopia • Women: 4.0M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 2.9M men, 3.0M women • Ethiopia: 7.1M men, 7.0M women
Population Ratio
5.9M
14.0M
Ages 25-29: Ethiopia has 58.5% more people
Men: 3.6M more in Ethiopia • Women: 3.4M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 2.4M men, 2.5M women • Ethiopia: 6.0M men, 6.0M women
Population Ratio
5.0M
12.0M
Ages 30-34: Ethiopia has 58.0% more people
Men: 3.0M more in Ethiopia • Women: 2.9M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 2.1M men, 2.2M women • Ethiopia: 5.1M men, 5.0M women
Population Ratio
4.2M
10.1M
Ages 35-39: Ethiopia has 53.2% more people
Men: 2.2M more in Ethiopia • Women: 2.1M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 1.9M men, 1.9M women • Ethiopia: 4.0M men, 4.0M women
Population Ratio
3.8M
8.1M
Ages 40-44: Ethiopia has 48.7% more people
Men: 1.5M more in Ethiopia • Women: 1.5M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 1.6M men, 1.5M women • Ethiopia: 3.0M men, 3.1M women
Population Ratio
3.1M
6.1M
Ages 45-49: Ethiopia has 51.5% more people
Men: 1.3M more in Ethiopia • Women: 1.4M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 1.3M men, 1.2M women • Ethiopia: 2.5M men, 2.6M women
Population Ratio
2.5M
5.1M
Ages 50-54: Ethiopia has 52.8% more people
Men: 1.0M more in Ethiopia • Women: 1.2M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 981K men, 981K women • Ethiopia: 2.0M men, 2.2M women
Population Ratio
2.0M
4.2M
Ages 55-59: Ethiopia has 55.8% more people
Men: 880K more in Ethiopia • Women: 1.1M more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 754K men, 781K women • Ethiopia: 1.6M men, 1.8M women
Population Ratio
1.5M
3.5M
Ages 60-64: Ethiopia has 58.5% more people
Men: 731K more in Ethiopia • Women: 874K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 544K men, 593K women • Ethiopia: 1.3M men, 1.5M women
Population Ratio
1.1M
2.7M
Ages 65-69: Ethiopia has 60.6% more people
Men: 541K more in Ethiopia • Women: 641K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 354K men, 414K women • Ethiopia: 895K men, 1.1M women
Population Ratio
768K
2.0M
Ages 70-74: Ethiopia has 63.3% more people
Men: 368K more in Ethiopia • Women: 443K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 208K men, 262K women • Ethiopia: 576K men, 705K women
Population Ratio
470K
1.3M
Ages 75-79: Ethiopia has 64.4% more people
Men: 225K more in Ethiopia • Women: 300K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 128K men, 162K women • Ethiopia: 353K men, 462K women
Population Ratio
290K
815K
Ages 80-84: Ethiopia has 63.0% more people
Men: 116K more in Ethiopia • Women: 156K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 61K men, 98K women • Ethiopia: 177K men, 254K women
Population Ratio
159K
431K
Ages 85-89: Ethiopia has 50.4% more people
Men: 35K more in Ethiopia • Women: 43K more in Ethiopia
Kenya: 25K men, 53K women • Ethiopia: 60K men, 97K women
Population Ratio
78K
157K
Ages 95-99: Kenya has 106.3% more people
Men: 1K more in Kenya • Women: 3K more in Kenya
Kenya: 3K men, 6K women • Ethiopia: 1K men, 3K women
Population Ratio
9K
4K
Ages 100+: Kenya has 760.2% more people
Men: 534 more in Kenya • Women: 1K more in Kenya
Kenya: 588 men, 2K women • Ethiopia: 54 men, 202 women
Population Ratio
2K
256
Demographic comparison, 2026
| Indicator | Kenya | Ethiopia | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population (2026) | 58,636,412 | 138,902,184 | Ethiopia has 80.3 million more (2.4×) |
| Change 2025–2026 | +1.9% (Growing) | +2.5% (Growing) | |
| Median age (2026) | 20.3 | 19.3 | Kenya older by 1.0 yrs |
| Total fertility rate | 3.07 — 0.97 above replacement | 3.72 — 1.62 above replacement | |
| Fertility rate, 2030 (UN projection) | 2.92 | 3.43 | |
| Birth rate (per 1,000) | 26.6 | 30.3 | |
| Population 2050 (UN projection) | 83.6 million (+42.6%) | 225.0 million (+62.0%) | |
| Peak population | Peaks 2098 | Peaks 2100 |
Differences by age group, 2026
| Age | Kenya (M / F) | Ethiopia (M / F) | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 3674K / 3620K | 10162K / 9716K | Ethiopia has 172.5% more people aged 0-4 |
| 5-9 | 3456K / 3409K | 9164K / 8822K | Ethiopia has 162.0% more people aged 5-9 |
| 10-14 | 3418K / 3372K | 7942K / 7690K | Ethiopia has 130.2% more people aged 10-14 |
| 15-19 | 3387K / 3364K | 7576K / 7373K | Ethiopia has 121.4% more people aged 15-19 |
| 20-24 | 2924K / 2973K | 7077K / 6969K | Ethiopia has 138.2% more people aged 20-24 |
| 25-29 | 2424K / 2547K | 6014K / 5961K | Ethiopia has 140.9% more people aged 25-29 |
| 30-34 | 2060K / 2167K | 5054K / 5020K | Ethiopia has 138.3% more people aged 30-34 |
| 35-39 | 1881K / 1896K | 4038K / 4031K | Ethiopia has 113.6% more people aged 35-39 |
| 40-44 | 1588K / 1545K | 3046K / 3064K | Ethiopia has 95.0% more people aged 40-44 |
| 45-49 | 1259K / 1228K | 2534K / 2597K | Ethiopia has 106.3% more people aged 45-49 |
| 50-54 | 981K / 981K | 2004K / 2157K | Ethiopia has 112.0% more people aged 50-54 |
| 55-59 | 754K / 781K | 1634K / 1839K | Ethiopia has 126.3% more people aged 55-59 |
| 60-64 | 544K / 593K | 1276K / 1467K | Ethiopia has 141.1% more people aged 60-64 |
| 65-69 | 354K / 414K | 895K / 1055K | Ethiopia has 154.0% more people aged 65-69 |
| 70-74 | 208K / 262K | 576K / 705K | Ethiopia has 172.2% more people aged 70-74 |
| 75-79 | 128K / 162K | 353K / 462K | Ethiopia has 181.3% more people aged 75-79 |
| 80-84 | 61K / 98K | 177K / 254K | Ethiopia has 170.5% more people aged 80-84 |
| 85-89 | 25K / 53K | 60K / 97K | Ethiopia has 101.5% more people aged 85-89 |
| 90-94 | 10K / 22K | 12K / 24K | Ethiopia has 14.6% more people aged 90-94 |
| 95-99 | 3K / 6K | 1K / 3K | Kenya has 106.3% more people aged 95-99 |
| 100+ | 1K / 2K | 0K / 0K | Kenya has 760.2% more people aged 100+ |
Frequently Asked Questions
Which has more people, Kenya or Ethiopia?
Ethiopia has more: 138.9 million vs 58.6 million in 2026 — 2.4× as many, 80.3 million more people.
Which country is older?
Kenya, with a median age of 20.3 vs 19.3 in Ethiopia (2026).
Which has higher fertility?
Ethiopia, at 3.72 children per woman vs 3.07 in Kenya. Replacement is 2.1, so both are compared against it.
How will Kenya and Ethiopia compare in 2050?
By 2050 the UN projects Kenya at 83.6 million (+42.6% from 2026) and Ethiopia at 225.0 million (+62.0%).
Are Kenya and Ethiopia growing or shrinking?
Kenya is growing (+1.9% in 2026); Ethiopia is growing (+2.5%).
