Population Projections by Country to 2100

By Marko Visic ยท Updated

The UN projects the world population to grow from 8.30 billion in 2026 to 9.66 billion in 2050, peaking at 10.29 billion in 2084. Pick a country and a year below to see its projection.

Data: UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant.

2026205020752100
UN projection
World

In 2050, World is projected to have 9.66B people โ€” +1.36B (+16.4%) vs 8.30B today.

๐Ÿš€ Peak coming

The UN projects the world's population to peak at 10.29B in 2084 โ€” about 58 years from now โ€” then decline.

today (2026)
8.30B
people
2050
9.66B
+16.4%
2100
10.18B
+22.7%
peak
2084
10.29B
  • When you turn 65 in 2055, the world's population is projected to be 9.85B (+18.6% vs 2026).
  • When you turn 80 in 2070: 10.19B (+22.8% vs 2026).

โ“˜ Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant (population.un.org/wpp). UN also publishes low- and high-variant projections that diverge substantially after 2050 โ€” the medium variant is the central published estimate.

Population trajectory, 1950 to 2100

World
02.2B4.3B6.5B8.6B10.8B1950197520002025205020752100populationtoday2050peak 2084
World estimates projection today (2026) chosen year projected peak

Solid blue line: UN estimates, 1950 to 2023 (history). Dashed line: medium-variant projection to 2100. Green marker is 2026 (today); purple marker tracks the slider year; red marker (if shown) is the projected peak.

Tip: this URL updates as you change inputs โ€” copy and share. See world population when you were born โ†’ ยท How long will I live? โ†’

World population trajectory to 2100

UN WPP 2024 medium variant
02.3B4.5B6.8B9.1B11.3B1950197520002026205020752100todayworld peaks 2084
2026
8.30B
2050
9.66B
+16.4%
2100
10.18B
+22.7%
Peak (2084)
10.29B

The world population is projected to grow from 8.30 billion in 2026 to 9.66 billion in 2050, peaking at 10.29 billion in 2084 before slowly declining.

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 โ€” annual world population, medium variant.

When does each country peak?

UN WPP 2024 medium variant ยท 194 countries
All 194 countries grouped by projected peak year4322%2613%5327%7237%
Peaked before 2026
43
Peaks 2026 to 2050
26
Peaks 2051 to 2099
53
Still growing in 2100
72

Source: computed from UN WPP 2024 per-country annual population projections (medium variant). A country is "past peak" if its population stopped rising before 2026, and "still growing in 2100" if its 2100 population is its highest and above its level a decade earlier.

Fastest-growing and fastest-shrinking countries by 2050

UN WPP 2024 ยท % change 2026 to 2050
10 fastest-growing10 fastest-shrinking#1Democratic Republic of the Congo+87.3%#2Central African Republic+86.0%#3Angola+84.8%#4Somalia+83.3%#5Niger+82.3%#6Chad+80.1%#7Tanzania+78.5%#8Mali+78.4%#9Mozambique+73.5%#10Mauritania+70.9%#1Bosnia and Herzegovinaโˆ’19.4%#2Moldovaโˆ’20.0%#3Lithuaniaโˆ’17.9%#4Ukraineโˆ’19.0%#5Bulgariaโˆ’19.4%#6Albaniaโˆ’21.4%#7Latviaโˆ’16.7%#8Serbiaโˆ’16.7%#9Belarusโˆ’15.7%#10North Macedoniaโˆ’16.7%

The fastest-growing countries are led by the Democratic Republic of the Congo (+87.3% by 2050); the fastest-shrinking by Bosnia and Herzegovina (โˆ’19.4%). Both lists are limited to countries with at least 1 million people in 2026, so the ranking reflects countries with real demographic weight.

Source: computed from UN WPP 2024 medium-variant projections, 2026 to 2050.

How UN projections work

Low variant

A lower-fertility scenario. By 2100 it gives a world population of about 6.99 billion.

Medium variant (shown here)

The UN's central projection, used on this page. It gives 10.18 billion in 2100.

High variant

A higher-fertility scenario. By 2100 it gives about 14.40 billion.

The low and high variants are lower- and higher-fertility scenarios, not probabilities. For a probability range, the UN publishes prediction intervals: the 95% interval for 2100 is 9.05 to 11.44 billion, and for 2050 it is 9.42 to 9.90 billion.

Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 โ€” medium, low and high variants plus the 80% and 95% prediction intervals, from the same UN release.

All 194 countries projected to 2050 and 2100

Ranked by 2026 population ยท UN WPP 2024
#Country20262050Change, 2026 to 20502100Change, 2026 to 2100Peak year
1India1476.6M1679.6M+13.5%1505.3M+2.0%2061
2China1412.9M1260.3Mโˆ’10.6%633.4Mโˆ’55.1%2021
3United States349.0M380.8M+9.1%421.3M+20.7%2100
4Indonesia287.9M320.7M+11.4%295.5M+2.6%2058
5Pakistan259.3M371.9M+43.4%511.0M+97.1%2100
6Nigeria242.4M359.2M+48.2%476.7M+96.7%2100
7Brazil213.6M217.5M+1.8%163.4Mโˆ’23.5%2042
8Bangladesh177.8M214.7M+20.8%208.6M+17.3%2071
9Russia143.4M136.1Mโˆ’5.1%126.4Mโˆ’11.9%1991
10Ethiopia138.9M225.0M+62.0%367.3M+164.4%2100
11Mexico133.0M148.9M+12.0%130.2Mโˆ’2.1%2058
12Japan122.4M105.1Mโˆ’14.1%76.8Mโˆ’37.3%2009
13Egypt120.1M161.6M+34.6%201.9M+68.1%2100
14Philippines117.7M134.4M+14.2%114.2Mโˆ’3.0%2057
15Democratic Republic of the Congo116.5M218.2M+87.3%430.7M+269.7%2100
16Vietnam102.2M110.0M+7.6%91.7Mโˆ’10.3%2049
17Iran93.2M101.9M+9.3%80.0Mโˆ’14.2%2053
18Turkey87.9M91.3M+3.9%65.3Mโˆ’25.7%2047
19Germany83.6M78.3Mโˆ’6.3%70.9Mโˆ’15.2%2024
20Tanzania72.6M129.6M+78.5%262.8M+262.0%2100
21Thailand71.6M66.4Mโˆ’7.3%45.6Mโˆ’36.3%2022
22United Kingdom69.9M75.5M+8.0%74.3M+6.3%2072
23France66.7M68.2M+2.2%68.5M+2.7%2095
24South Africa65.5M79.2M+20.9%94.3M+44.0%2100
25Italy58.9M51.9Mโˆ’11.9%35.4Mโˆ’39.9%2014
26Kenya58.6M83.6M+42.7%104.2M+77.8%2098
27Myanmar55.2M58.6M+6.2%49.7Mโˆ’10.0%2049
28Colombia53.9M59.4M+10.2%47.1Mโˆ’12.6%2050
29Sudan53.3M85.2M+59.8%136.9M+156.8%2100
30Uganda52.8M85.4M+61.7%120.8M+128.8%2100
31South Korea51.6M45.1Mโˆ’12.6%21.8Mโˆ’57.8%2020
32Algeria48.0M59.6M+24.2%64.5M+34.4%2090
33Iraq48.0M71.9M+49.8%100.6M+109.6%2100
34Spain47.9M44.9Mโˆ’6.3%33.1Mโˆ’30.9%2023
35Argentina46.0M48.3M+5.0%38.3Mโˆ’16.7%2050
36Afghanistan45.0M76.9M+70.9%130.2M+189.3%2100
37Yemen43.0M71.0M+65.1%110.0M+155.8%2100
38Canada40.5M45.6M+12.6%53.6M+32.3%2100
39Angola40.2M74.3M+84.8%150.0M+273.1%2100
40Ukraine39.5M32.0Mโˆ’19.0%15.2Mโˆ’61.5%1993
41Morocco38.8M43.4M+11.9%37.9Mโˆ’2.3%2058
42Poland37.8M32.8Mโˆ’13.2%19.3Mโˆ’48.9%2023
43Uzbekistan37.7M52.2M+38.5%74.3M+97.3%2100
44Mozambique36.6M63.5M+73.5%104.3M+185.0%2100
45Malaysia36.4M44.3M+21.7%44.0M+20.9%2072
46Ghana35.7M50.6M+41.7%67.5M+89.1%2100
47Saudi Arabia35.2M47.7M+35.5%71.0M+101.7%2100
48Peru34.9M40.6M+16.3%38.2M+9.5%2066
49Madagascar33.5M53.2M+58.8%85.3M+154.6%2100
50Cรดte d'Ivoire33.5M55.7M+66.3%104.0M+210.4%2100
51Cameroon30.6M51.1M+67.0%88.9M+190.5%2100
52Nepal29.6M34.6M+16.9%31.8M+7.4%2067
53Niger28.8M52.5M+82.3%90.8M+215.3%2100
54Venezuela28.6M31.1M+8.7%28.3Mโˆ’1.0%2057
55Australia27.2M32.5M+19.5%43.1M+58.5%2100
56North Korea26.6M25.8Mโˆ’3.0%19.5Mโˆ’26.7%2032
57Syria26.5M37.8M+42.6%43.7M+64.9%2086
58Mali25.9M46.2M+78.4%79.4M+206.6%2100
59Burkina Faso24.6M37.3M+51.6%49.9M+102.8%2100
60Sri Lanka23.3M24.8M+6.4%21.2Mโˆ’9.0%2051
61Malawi22.8M37.4M+64.0%59.1M+159.2%2100
62Zambia22.5M38.1M+69.3%64.5M+186.7%2100
63Chad21.6M38.9M+80.1%69.5M+221.8%2100
64Kazakhstan21.1M26.5M+25.6%33.7M+59.7%2100
65Somalia20.3M37.2M+83.3%67.4M+232.0%2100
66Chile19.9M20.3M+2.0%13.4Mโˆ’32.7%2041
67Senegal19.4M30.4M+56.7%47.0M+142.3%2100
68Guatemala19.0M24.7M+30.0%25.9M+36.3%2077
69Romania18.8M16.0Mโˆ’14.9%10.8Mโˆ’42.6%1991
70Netherlands18.4M19.0M+3.3%17.5Mโˆ’4.9%2041
71Ecuador18.4M21.3M+15.8%19.1M+3.8%2063
72Cambodia18.1M21.9M+21.0%22.7M+25.4%2078
73Zimbabwe17.3M25.9M+49.7%37.2M+115.0%2100
74Guinea15.4M23.4M+51.9%32.0M+107.8%2100
75Benin15.2M24.4M+60.5%39.6M+160.5%2100
76Rwanda14.9M22.7M+52.3%32.8M+120.1%2100
77Burundi14.7M24.1M+63.9%37.9M+157.8%2100
78Bolivia12.7M16.1M+26.8%17.8M+40.2%2086
79South Sudan12.4M18.3M+47.6%23.8M+91.9%2100
80Tunisia12.4M13.1M+5.6%10.7Mโˆ’13.7%2051
81Haiti12.0M14.7M+22.5%15.2M+26.7%2076
82Belgium11.8M11.9M+0.8%11.1Mโˆ’5.9%2044
83Dominican Republic11.6M13.0M+12.1%11.7M+0.9%2061
84Jordan11.6M16.4M+41.4%21.3M+83.6%2100
85United Arab Emirates11.6M15.4M+32.8%26.1M+125.0%2100
86Honduras11.2M14.8M+32.1%17.0M+51.8%2090
87Tajikistan11.0M15.6M+41.8%20.2M+83.6%2100
88Papua New Guinea10.9M14.9M+36.7%18.6M+70.6%2100
89Cuba10.9M9.4Mโˆ’13.8%5.6Mโˆ’48.6%2012
90Sweden10.7M11.3M+5.6%11.4M+6.5%2079
91Czech Republic10.5M9.8Mโˆ’6.7%8.2Mโˆ’21.9%2023
92Azerbaijan10.5M11.2M+6.7%10.0Mโˆ’4.8%2050
93Portugal10.4M9.8Mโˆ’5.8%8.8Mโˆ’15.4%2010
94Togo9.9M15.6M+57.6%26.3M+165.7%2100
95Greece9.9M8.8Mโˆ’11.1%6.3Mโˆ’36.4%2010
96Israel9.6M13.1M+36.5%19.7M+105.2%2100
97Hungary9.6M8.7Mโˆ’9.4%7.5Mโˆ’21.9%1980
98Austria9.1M8.7Mโˆ’4.4%7.4Mโˆ’18.7%2023
99Switzerland9.0M9.3M+3.3%9.1M+1.1%2051
100Sierra Leone9.0M12.9M+43.3%15.9M+76.7%2092
101Belarus8.9M7.5Mโˆ’15.7%4.4Mโˆ’50.6%1993
102Laos8.0M9.8M+22.5%9.3M+16.3%2068
103Turkmenistan7.7M9.6M+24.7%9.9M+28.6%2079
104Libya7.5M9.3M+24.0%9.8M+30.7%2086
105Kyrgyzstan7.4M9.6M+29.7%11.7M+58.1%2100
106Nicaragua7.1M8.8M+23.9%8.6M+21.1%2071
107Paraguay7.1M8.6M+21.1%9.0M+26.8%2078
108Bulgaria6.7M5.4Mโˆ’19.4%3.5Mโˆ’47.8%1988
109Serbia6.6M5.5Mโˆ’16.7%3.7Mโˆ’43.9%1987
110Congo6.6M11.0M+66.7%20.0M+203.0%2100
111El Salvador6.4M6.7M+4.7%5.1Mโˆ’20.3%2047
112Denmark6.0M6.1M+1.7%5.9Mโˆ’1.7%2042
113Singapore5.9M6.1M+3.4%4.2Mโˆ’28.8%2040
114Lebanon5.9M7.0M+18.6%7.2M+22.0%2080
115Liberia5.9M8.9M+50.8%12.7M+115.3%2100
116Central African Republic5.7M10.6M+86.0%18.8M+229.8%2100
117Palestine5.7M8.5M+49.1%11.5M+101.8%2100
118Oman5.7M7.8M+36.8%12.1M+112.3%2100
119Norway5.7M5.9M+3.5%5.4Mโˆ’5.3%2050
120Finland5.6M5.4Mโˆ’3.6%4.6Mโˆ’17.9%2025
121Mauritania5.5M9.4M+70.9%17.1M+210.9%2100
122Slovakia5.5M4.9Mโˆ’10.9%3.4Mโˆ’38.2%2023
123Ireland5.4M6.0M+11.1%5.3Mโˆ’1.9%2053
124New Zealand5.3M5.8M+9.4%5.8M+9.4%2078
125Costa Rica5.2M5.4M+3.8%3.8Mโˆ’26.9%2044
126Kuwait5.1M6.4M+25.5%9.6M+88.2%2100
127Panama4.6M5.6M+21.7%5.9M+28.3%2080
128Croatia3.8M3.2Mโˆ’15.8%2.1Mโˆ’44.7%1990
129Georgia3.8M3.7Mโˆ’2.6%3.0Mโˆ’21.1%1988
130Eritrea3.7M5.7M+54.1%8.4M+127.0%2100
131Mongolia3.6M4.5M+25.0%5.5M+52.8%2100
132Uruguay3.4M3.3Mโˆ’2.9%2.2Mโˆ’35.3%2020
133Qatar3.2M4.2M+31.3%7.3M+128.1%2100
134Namibia3.2M4.5M+40.6%5.9M+84.4%2100
135Bosnia and Herzegovina3.1M2.5Mโˆ’19.4%1.4Mโˆ’54.8%1991
136Moldova3.0M2.4Mโˆ’20.0%1.5Mโˆ’50.0%1991
137Armenia2.9M2.5Mโˆ’13.8%1.7Mโˆ’41.4%1991
138Gambia2.9M4.3M+48.3%5.7M+96.6%2100
139Jamaica2.8M2.5Mโˆ’10.7%1.1Mโˆ’60.7%2023
140Lithuania2.8M2.3Mโˆ’17.9%1.2Mโˆ’57.1%1991
141Albania2.8M2.2Mโˆ’21.4%1.2Mโˆ’57.1%1991
142Gabon2.6M4.1M+57.7%6.9M+165.4%2100
143Botswana2.6M3.4M+30.8%3.8M+46.2%2088
144Lesotho2.4M3.0M+25.0%3.3M+37.5%2083
145Guinea-Bissau2.3M3.4M+47.8%4.7M+104.3%2100
146Slovenia2.1M2.0Mโˆ’4.8%1.6Mโˆ’23.8%2024
147Equatorial Guinea2.0M3.1M+55.0%5.0M+150.0%2100
148Latvia1.8M1.5Mโˆ’16.7%925,000โˆ’48.6%1989
149North Macedonia1.8M1.5Mโˆ’16.7%863,000โˆ’52.1%2005
150Bahrain1.7M2.1M+23.5%3.1M+82.4%2100
151Trinidad and Tobago1.5M1.4Mโˆ’6.7%898,000โˆ’40.1%2028
152Timor-Leste1.4M1.9M+35.7%2.0M+42.9%2076
153Cyprus1.4M1.5M+7.1%1.3Mโˆ’7.1%2052
154Estonia1.3M1.2Mโˆ’7.7%826,000โˆ’36.5%1990
155Eswatini1.3M1.5M+15.4%1.3Mยฑ0.0%2063
156Mauritius1.3M1.1Mโˆ’15.4%582,000โˆ’55.2%2015
157Djibouti1.2M1.5M+25.0%1.8M+50.0%2100
158Fiji937,0001.0M+6.7%879,000โˆ’6.2%2054
159Comoros899,0001.3M+44.6%1.9M+111.3%2100
160Solomon Islands858,0001.3M+51.5%1.8M+109.8%2100
161Guyana841,000941,000+11.9%889,000+5.7%2067
162Bhutan802,000882,000+10.0%690,000โˆ’14.0%2052
163Luxembourg687,000791,000+15.1%748,000+8.9%2061
164Suriname645,000734,000+13.8%709,000+9.9%2071
165Montenegro626,000533,000โˆ’14.9%326,000โˆ’47.9%2024
166Malta549,000536,000โˆ’2.4%360,000โˆ’34.4%2033
167Maldives532,000590,000+10.9%475,000โˆ’10.7%2057
168Cabo Verde530,000566,000+6.8%417,000โˆ’21.3%2051
169Brunei470,000520,000+10.6%465,000โˆ’1.1%2055
170Belize429,000517,000+20.5%447,000+4.2%2063
171Bahamas405,000424,000+4.7%385,000โˆ’4.9%2050
172Iceland402,000433,000+7.7%363,000โˆ’9.7%2049
173Vanuatu343,000534,000+55.7%875,000+155.1%2100
174Barbados283,000264,000โˆ’6.7%195,000โˆ’31.1%2028
175Sao Tome and Principe245,000365,000+49.0%534,000+118.0%2100
176Samoa221,000273,000+23.5%384,000+73.8%2100
177Saint Lucia180,000172,000โˆ’4.4%108,000โˆ’40.0%2032
178Kiribati138,000183,000+32.6%223,000+61.6%2099
179Seychelles135,000142,000+5.2%116,000โˆ’14.1%2042
180Grenada117,000113,000โˆ’3.4%74,000โˆ’36.8%2031
181Micronesia114,000126,000+10.5%128,000+12.3%2075
182Tonga103,000105,000+1.9%118,000+14.6%2100
183Saint Vincent and the Grenadines99,00089,000โˆ’10.1%64,000โˆ’35.4%2000
184Antigua and Barbuda95,00095,000ยฑ0.0%68,000โˆ’28.4%2038
185Andorra84,00082,000โˆ’2.4%47,000โˆ’44.0%2035
186Dominica66,00063,000โˆ’4.5%49,000โˆ’25.8%1980
187Saint Kitts and Nevis47,00044,000โˆ’6.4%30,000โˆ’36.2%1960
188Liechtenstein40,00043,000+7.5%44,000+10.0%2100
189Monaco38,00037,000โˆ’2.6%47,000+23.7%2100
190Marshall Islands35,00025,000โˆ’28.6%24,000โˆ’31.4%2010
191San Marino34,00034,000ยฑ0.0%31,000โˆ’8.8%2020
192Palau18,00016,000โˆ’11.1%11,000โˆ’38.9%2004
193Nauru12,00016,000+33.3%21,000+75.0%2100
194Tuvalu9,00010,000+11.1%12,000+33.3%2100
Population figures are mid-year (July 1) totals; changes are computed from the values shown. Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant. "Peak year" is the year UN projects each country's population reaches its maximum within 1950 to 2100.

Frequently Asked Questions

What will the world population be in 2050?

9.66 billion, up from 8.30 billion in 2026 (UN medium variant). About two-thirds of the increase (882 million of 1.36 billion) is in Africa; Asia adds 417 million, while Europe and Eastern Asia shrink.

What will the world population be in 2100?

10.18 billion in the UN medium variant. The UN's 95% prediction interval for 2100 is 9.05 to 11.44 billion; its low- and high-fertility variants give 6.99 and 14.40 billion.

When will the world population peak?

In 2084, at 10.29 billion, in the UN medium variant.

Which countries will grow fastest by 2050?

By percentage, among countries with at least 1 million people: DR Congo +87%, Central African Republic +86%, Angola +85%, Somalia +83%, Niger +82% โ€” each growing +82% to +87%. By the number of people added: India +203.0M, Nigeria +116.8M, Pakistan +112.6M, DR Congo +101.8M, Ethiopia +86.1M.

Which countries will shrink fastest by 2050?

By percentage: Bosnia and Herzegovina โˆ’19.4%, Moldova โˆ’20.0%, Lithuania โˆ’17.9%, Ukraine โˆ’19.0%, Bulgaria โˆ’19.4%. By the number of people lost: China โˆ’152.6M, Japan โˆ’17.3M, Ukraine โˆ’7.5M, Russia โˆ’7.3M, Italy โˆ’7.0M.

How certain are UN population projections?

The UN publishes probability ranges: the world's 95% prediction interval is 9.42 to 9.90 billion for 2050 and 9.05 to 11.44 billion for 2100.

What's the difference between the low, medium and high variants?

Medium is the UN's central projection, used on this page. Low and high assume lower or higher fertility and give 6.99 and 14.40 billion in 2100. They are scenarios; the 95% prediction interval is the UN's probability range.

Where does this data come from?

UN World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant, total population on 1 July for 1950 to 2100. Variants and prediction intervals come from the same UN release.

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Sources & Methodology

  • Primary source: UN World Population Prospects 2024 โ€” annual mid-year (1 July) total population for 194 countries, 1950 to 2100, medium variant.
  • Variants and intervals: the low and high variants are lower- and higher-fertility scenarios; the 80% and 95% prediction intervals are the UN's probability ranges. Both come from the same UN release.
  • Rendering: every chart and table on this page is inline SVG or HTML generated server-side from the primary data โ€” no third-party chart libraries.