Tajikistan Population Pyramid (2026)
Tajikistan has a population of 10,978,599 in 2026, according to the UN World Population Prospects 2024 (projection for 1 July). That is the 87th-largest population in the world and 0.13% of the global total of 8.30 billion. Children under 15 make up 35.4% of the population and people aged 65 and over 4.3%, with 96.9 males for every 100 females.
Tajikistan Demographics
Tajikistan has 11.0 million people in 2026, up 273.8% from 2.9 million in 1970.
Births outnumber deaths by 210,760 (UN projection for 2026).
Under-15 share 35.4% — the 49th-highest of 194 countries.
Median age 22.4 — the 55th-lowest of 194 countries.
Largest generation: Gen Alpha — 28.7% (3,154,967)
All generations in Tajikistan →Population pyramid, 1950 to 2026
Watch how Tajikistan's population structure evolved from 1950 to 2026
Page Navigation(Quick jump to sections)
Sex Ratio & Gender Distribution
Tajikistan has 96.9 males per 100 females (sex ratio)
Women outnumber men by 174,477 (1.6% of the population).
Male Statistics
- Population:5,402,061
- Percentage:49.2%
Female Statistics
- Population:5,576,538
- Percentage:50.8%
- Ratio Format:1:1.032
Sex Ratio Analysis
The sex ratio of Tajikistan indicates more females than males.
Birth Statistics & Natality Data
Estimated births today
Simulated from the UN WPP 2024 projection of 261,679 births in 2026.
Current Birth Metrics (2026)
Temporal Distribution
Averages from the UN annual births, 2026 projection
Historical Birth Rate Trends, 1950 to 2026
Birth Statistics, 2021 to 2026
| Year | Births | Birth Rate (per 1,000) | TFR (children/woman) | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 276,523 | 27.7 | 3.17 | estimate |
| 2022 | 275,357 | 27.0 | 3.13 | estimate |
| 2023 | 271,420 | 26.1 | 3.07 | estimate |
| 2024 | 268,304 | 25.3 | 3.04 | projection |
| 2025 | 264,517 | 24.5 | 2.99 | projection |
| 2026 | 261,679 | 23.8 | 2.96 | projection |
Historical Analysis
Global Context (2026)
Source: UN WPP 2024: births, birth rate and fertility for 2024 and later are medium-variant projections; 1950–2023 are estimates. The live counter is a uniform simulation of the 2026 projection (261,679 births), not a real-time feed.
Median Age Analysis
Tajikistan's median age is 22.4 years
Half the population is younger than 22.4 years, half is older — indicating a very young society
Complete Age Distribution & Youth Demographics
| Age Group | Population | % | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 1,309,512 | 11.9% | Youth |
| 5-9 | 1,312,587 | 12.0% | Youth |
| 10-14 | 1,267,129 | 11.5% | Youth |
| 15-19 | 1,040,269 | 9.5% | Young Adult |
| 20-24 | 840,869 | 7.7% | Young Adult |
| 25-29 | 896,406 | 8.2% | Working Age |
| 30-34 | 826,940 | 7.5% | Working Age |
| 35-39 | 796,264 | 7.3% | Working Age |
| 40-44 | 634,351 | 5.8% | Working Age |
| 45-49 | 490,449 | 4.5% | Working Age |
| 50-54 | 411,623 | 3.7% | Working Age |
| 55-59 | 365,376 | 3.3% | Working Age |
| 60-64 | 315,735 | 2.9% | Working Age |
| 65-69 | 233,946 | 2.1% | Senior |
| 70-74 | 130,692 | 1.2% | Senior |
| 75-79 | 63,060 | 0.6% | Senior |
| 80-84 | 24,259 | 0.2% | Senior |
| 85-89 | 14,697 | 0.1% | Senior |
| 90-94 | 3,846 | 0.0% | Senior |
| 95-99 | 558 | 0.0% | Senior |
| 100+ | 30 | 0.0% | Senior |
Demographic Transition Model (DTM) Stage
Stage 3 (falling birth rate): 2.96 children per woman and 23.8 births per 1,000, with a low death rate (4.6). Read more about Stage 3 of the Demographic Transition Model.
Fertility Rate & Birth Statistics
Tajikistan Total Fertility Rate: 2.96 children per woman
Above the replacement level of 2.1
Fertility Rate Trends
Historical data (solid line) and future projections (dashed line)
Historical Fertility Trends
| Year | Total Fertility Rate | Birth Rate | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3.17 | 27.7 | |
| 2022 | 3.13 | 27.0 | ↓0.04 |
| 2023 | 3.07 | 26.1 | ↓0.06 |
| 2024 | 3.04 | 25.3 | ↓0.03 |
| 2025 | 2.99 | 24.5 | ↓0.05 |
| 2026 | 2.96 | 23.8 | ↓0.03 |
Global Context
- • World Average: 2.23 children per woman
- • Comparison: Above global average
- • UN projection for 2030: 2.83
Tajikistan's total fertility rate is 2.96 children per woman in 2026 (above replacement), above the replacement level of 2.1. Tajikistan ranks 56 of 194 for fertility rate (1 = highest), in the highest third of countries. The fertility rate has changed by −47.2% since 1950.
Historical Demographic Changes
Between 1950 and 2026, Tajikistan's population has increased by 618.3%.
The median age has increased from 20.7 in 1950 to 22.4 in 2026, indicating population aging.
Understanding Tajikistan's Demographics
Tajikistan has an expansive population pyramid — a broad base of children that narrows steadily toward older ages.
Children under 15 make up 35.4% of the population and people aged 65 and over 4.3%.
The largest five-year age band is 5–9, at 12.0% of the population, compared with 11.9% in the 0–4 band.
Demographic Analysis: Tajikistan's Population Structure
Demographic Dividend Window
The working-age share is still rising, from 60.7% in 2016 to 60.3% in 2026 (dependency ratio 65.9).
Fertility Transition Stage
Tajikistan is in a period of above replacement, with a total fertility rate of 2.96 children per woman (2026, UN WPP 2024).
Population Aging Speed
Tajikistan's median age changed by +1.6 years from 2016 to 2026, slower than the world average (+2.6 years).
Key Demographics
| Total Population | 10,978,599 |
| Male Population | 5,402,061(49.2%) |
| Female Population | 5,576,538(50.8%) |
| Median Age | 22.4 years |
| Sex Ratio | 96.9 males per 100 females |
| Youth (0-14) | 3,889,228(35.4%) |
| Working Age (15-64) | 6,618,283(60.3%) |
| Elderly (65+) | 471,088(4.3%) |
| Total Dependency Ratio | 65.9 |
| Youth Dependency Ratio | 58.8 |
| Old Age Dependency Ratio | 7.1 |
| Pyramid Type | Expansive |
Dependency Ratios: Number of dependents per 100 working-age individuals.
Demographic Data Visualizations
Total population, 1950–2026 (UN WPP 2024; 2024 onward are projections).
Median age, 1950–2026 (UN WPP 2024; 2024 onward are projections).
Youth, working-age and elderly shares, 1950 vs 2026 (UN WPP 2024).
Age distribution in 2026: youth, working-age and elderly shares (UN WPP 2024; projection).
Life Expectancy in Tajikistan
How long the average person in Tajikistan is expected to live · sourced from UN WPP 2024
Historical Trend, 1950 → 2026 (plus UN projection to 2100)
Solid: actual · Dashed: medium-variant projectionFuture Demographic Trends
Tajikistan is projected to grow to 15.6 million people by 2050 (+41.9% from 2026).
The median age rises from 22.4 in 2026 to 27.9 by 2050.
Tajikistan's Demographic Evolution by Decade
The population increased by 36.0%, growing from 2.9 million in 1970 to 4.0 million by 1980
The youth population share contracted by 1.4 percentage points
Meanwhile, the elderly population proportion declined by 0.5 percentage points.
Key Demographic Highlights
- • Population changed from 2.9M to 4.0M
- • Growth rate of 36% over the decade
- • Median age shifted from 16.6 to 17.0 years (+0.4y)
- • 65+ share changed by −0.5 points; under-15 share by −1.4 points
Frequently Asked Questions About Tajikistan
How does Tajikistan rank globally by population?
Tajikistan ranks 87th in the world by population with 11.0 million people as of 2026, representing 0.13% of the global total of 8.30 billion.
What does Tajikistan's age structure reveal about its development?
Tajikistan's age structure — 35.4% under 15, 60.3% working-age (15–64) and 4.3% aged 65+ — is that of a country in Stage 3 of the demographic transition, with an expansive population pyramid. The median age is 22.4 years.
What is the dependency ratio in Tajikistan?
Tajikistan has 65.9 people under 15 or aged 65+ per 100 people aged 15–64 in 2026.
Is Tajikistan experiencing a demographic dividend?
Tajikistan is opening its demographic-dividend window. The working-age share is still rising, from 60.7% in 2016 to 60.3% in 2026 (dependency ratio 65.9). The demographic dividend occurs when falling fertility creates a bulge in the working-age population while dependency ratios stay manageable.
What are the gender dynamics in Tajikistan's population?
Tajikistan has more females than males, with 96.9 males per 100 females.
Compare with Other Countries
Data Sources & Methodology
All population data is sourced from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. The data represents UN medium-variant projections.
Cite this page: Population Pyramids. (2026). Tajikistan Population Pyramid and Demographic Analysis. Retrieved from https://www.populationpyramids.org/tajikistan
View UN World Population Prospects Data →