Bahamas Population Pyramid (2026)
The Bahamas has a population of 404,628 in 2026, according to the UN World Population Prospects 2024 (projection for 1 July). That is the 171st-largest population in the world and less than 0.01% of the global total of 8.30 billion. Children under 15 make up 17.2% of the population and people aged 65 and over 12.4%, with 91.1 males for every 100 females.
Bahamas Demographics
The Bahamas has 404,628 people in 2026, up 118.7% from 184,981 in 1970.
Births outnumber deaths by 629 (UN projection for 2026).
Under-15 share 17.2% — the 57th-lowest of 194 countries.
Median age 35.7 — the 67th-highest of 194 countries.
Largest generation: Millennials — 24.4% (98,901)
All generations in the Bahamas →Population pyramid, 1950 to 2026
Watch how the Bahamas' population structure evolved from 1950 to 2026
Page Navigation(Quick jump to sections)
Sex Ratio & Gender Distribution
The Bahamas has 91.1 males per 100 females (sex ratio)
Women outnumber men by 18,788 (4.6% of the population).
Male Statistics
- Population:192,920
- Percentage:47.7%
Female Statistics
- Population:211,708
- Percentage:52.3%
- Ratio Format:1:1.097
Sex Ratio Analysis
The sex ratio of the Bahamas indicates more females than males.
Birth Statistics & Natality Data
Estimated births today
Simulated from the UN WPP 2024 projection of 4,268 births in 2026.
Current Birth Metrics (2026)
Temporal Distribution
Averages from the UN annual births, 2026 projection
Historical Birth Rate Trends, 1950 to 2026
Birth Statistics, 2021 to 2026
| Year | Births | Birth Rate (per 1,000) | TFR (children/woman) | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4,369 | 11.0 | 1.38 | estimate |
| 2022 | 4,350 | 10.9 | 1.38 | estimate |
| 2023 | 4,335 | 10.9 | 1.37 | estimate |
| 2024 | 4,341 | 10.8 | 1.37 | projection |
| 2025 | 4,300 | 10.7 | 1.36 | projection |
| 2026 | 4,268 | 10.5 | 1.36 | projection |
Historical Analysis
Global Context (2026)
Source: UN WPP 2024: births, birth rate and fertility for 2024 and later are medium-variant projections; 1950–2023 are estimates. The live counter is a uniform simulation of the 2026 projection (4,268 births), not a real-time feed.
Median Age Analysis
The Bahamas' median age is 35.7 years
Half the population is younger than 35.7 years, half is older — indicating a middle-aged society
Complete Age Distribution & Youth Demographics
| Age Group | Population | % | Category |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 21,695 | 5.4% | Youth |
| 5-9 | 22,332 | 5.5% | Youth |
| 10-14 | 25,738 | 6.4% | Youth |
| 15-19 | 28,654 | 7.1% | Young Adult |
| 20-24 | 29,065 | 7.2% | Young Adult |
| 25-29 | 30,525 | 7.5% | Working Age |
| 30-34 | 33,677 | 8.3% | Working Age |
| 35-39 | 31,093 | 7.7% | Working Age |
| 40-44 | 28,186 | 7.0% | Working Age |
| 45-49 | 26,812 | 6.6% | Working Age |
| 50-54 | 26,968 | 6.7% | Working Age |
| 55-59 | 26,522 | 6.6% | Working Age |
| 60-64 | 22,987 | 5.7% | Working Age |
| 65-69 | 16,802 | 4.2% | Senior |
| 70-74 | 11,882 | 2.9% | Senior |
| 75-79 | 9,181 | 2.3% | Senior |
| 80-84 | 6,868 | 1.7% | Senior |
| 85-89 | 3,635 | 0.9% | Senior |
| 90-94 | 1,442 | 0.4% | Senior |
| 95-99 | 452 | 0.1% | Senior |
| 100+ | 112 | 0.0% | Senior |
Demographic Transition Model (DTM) Stage
Stage 4 (low birth and death rates): fertility is below the replacement level of 2.1 (1.36 children per woman), and births still exceed deaths (10.5 vs 9.0 per 1,000). Read more about Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition Model.
Fertility Rate & Birth Statistics
Bahamas Total Fertility Rate: 1.36 children per woman
Below the replacement level of 2.1
Fertility Rate Trends
Historical data (solid line) and future projections (dashed line)
Historical Fertility Trends
| Year | Total Fertility Rate | Birth Rate | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 1.38 | 11.0 | |
| 2022 | 1.38 | 10.9 | 0.00 |
| 2023 | 1.37 | 10.9 | ↓0.01 |
| 2024 | 1.37 | 10.8 | 0.00 |
| 2025 | 1.36 | 10.7 | ↓0.01 |
| 2026 | 1.36 | 10.5 | 0.00 |
Global Context
- • World Average: 2.23 children per woman
- • Comparison: Below global average
- • UN projection for 2030: 1.36
The Bahamas' total fertility rate is 1.36 children per woman in 2026 (below replacement), below the replacement level of 2.1. The Bahamas ranks 169 of 194 for fertility rate (1 = highest), in the lowest third of countries. The fertility rate has changed by −69.9% since 1950.
Historical Demographic Changes
Between 1950 and 2026, the Bahamas' population has increased by 384.7%.
The median age has increased from 19.4 in 1950 to 35.7 in 2026, indicating population aging.
Understanding the Bahamas' Demographics
The Bahamas has a constrictive population pyramid — a base narrower than the middle, so younger cohorts are smaller than the ones above them.
Children under 15 make up 17.2% of the population and people aged 65 and over 12.4%.
The largest five-year age band is 30–34, at 8.3% of the population, compared with 5.4% in the 0–4 band.
Demographic Analysis: the Bahamas' Population Structure
Demographic Dividend Window
The Bahamas' working-age share is projected to peak in 2025 at 70.4%.
Fertility Transition Stage
The Bahamas is in a period of below replacement, with a total fertility rate of 1.36 children per woman (2026, UN WPP 2024).
Population Aging Speed
The Bahamas' median age changed by +3.5 years from 2016 to 2026, faster than the world average (+2.6 years).
Key Demographics
| Total Population | 404,628 |
| Male Population | 192,920(47.7%) |
| Female Population | 211,708(52.3%) |
| Median Age | 35.7 years |
| Sex Ratio | 91.1 males per 100 females |
| Youth (0-14) | 69,765(17.2%) |
| Working Age (15-64) | 284,489(70.3%) |
| Elderly (65+) | 50,374(12.4%) |
| Total Dependency Ratio | 42.2 |
| Youth Dependency Ratio | 24.5 |
| Old Age Dependency Ratio | 17.7 |
| Pyramid Type | Constrictive |
Dependency Ratios: Number of dependents per 100 working-age individuals.
Demographic Data Visualizations
Total population, 1950–2026 (UN WPP 2024; 2024 onward are projections).
Median age, 1950–2026 (UN WPP 2024; 2024 onward are projections).
Youth, working-age and elderly shares, 1950 vs 2026 (UN WPP 2024).
Age distribution in 2026: youth, working-age and elderly shares (UN WPP 2024; projection).
Life Expectancy in the Bahamas
How long the average person in the Bahamas is expected to live · sourced from UN WPP 2024
Historical Trend, 1950 → 2026 (plus UN projection to 2100)
Solid: actual · Dashed: medium-variant projectionFuture Demographic Trends
The Bahamas is projected to grow to 424,265 people by 2050 (+4.9% from 2026).
The median age rises from 35.7 in 2026 to 42.5 by 2050.
Bahamas' Demographic Evolution by Decade
The population increased by 25.7%, growing from 0.2 million in 1970 to 0.2 million by 1980
The median age increased by 1.4 years, indicating population aging during this period
The youth population share contracted by 4.8 percentage points
Meanwhile, the elderly population proportion grew by 0.8 percentage points.
Key Demographic Highlights
- • Population changed from 185K to 233K
- • Growth rate of 25.7% over the decade
- • Median age shifted from 19.6 to 21.0 years (+1.4y)
- • 65+ share changed by +0.8 points; under-15 share by −4.8 points
Frequently Asked Questions About the Bahamas
How does the Bahamas rank globally by population?
The Bahamas ranks 171st in the world by population with 404,628 people as of 2026.
What does the Bahamas' age structure reveal about its development?
The Bahamas' age structure — 17.2% under 15, 70.3% working-age (15–64) and 12.4% aged 65+ — is that of a country in Stage 4 of the demographic transition, with a constrictive population pyramid. The median age is 35.7 years.
What is the dependency ratio in the Bahamas?
The Bahamas has 42.2 people under 15 or aged 65+ per 100 people aged 15–64 in 2026.
Is the Bahamas experiencing a demographic dividend?
The Bahamas is at the peak of its demographic-dividend window. The Bahamas' working-age share is projected to peak in 2025 at 70.4%. The demographic dividend occurs when falling fertility creates a bulge in the working-age population while dependency ratios stay manageable.
What are the gender dynamics in the Bahamas' population?
The Bahamas has more females than males, with 91.1 males per 100 females.
Compare with Other Countries
Data Sources & Methodology
All population data is sourced from the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. The data represents UN medium-variant projections.
Cite this page: Population Pyramids. (2026). Bahamas Population Pyramid and Demographic Analysis. Retrieved from https://www.populationpyramids.org/bahamas
View UN World Population Prospects Data →