China vs Nigeria: Population Comparison 2025

Opposite demographic futures. China shrinks while Nigeria explodes in population.

China

2025
0
Total Population

Nigeria

0
Total Population
Nigeria leads by 1.18B people
Gap is 83.23% of China's population
Fertility Rate
1.00vs4.42
Nigeria +3.42
Median Age
41.1vs19.2
Nigeria younger
Density /km²
148vs72
Nigeria 0.5x denser
Working Age %
69.7%vs56.4%
Ages 15-64
China: Declining Population
Nigeria: Stable Population
Replacement Level: 2.1

Population Pyramids Comparison

Total Population

China

1416.1M

vs

Nigeria

237.5M

Youth (0-14)

China

15.4%

vs

Nigeria

40.5%

Elderly (65+)

China

14.9%

vs

Nigeria

3.1%

Demographic Analysis: China vs Nigeria

In 2025, China has a population of 1.42B, while Nigeria has 238M. This represents a difference of 1.18B, with China having 6.0 times the population of the other. China ranks #2 globally by population size, while Nigeria ranks #6.

The median age reveals significant demographic differences: China has a median age of 41.1 years, compared to 19.2 years in Nigeria. This 21.9-year difference indicates that China has a significantly older population, with important implications for workforce dynamics, healthcare needs, and economic development. The dependency ratio in China is 43.5%, while in Nigeria it is 77.3%, showing the relative burden of non-working age populations on the workforce.

Gender balance differs between the two countries: China has a sex ratio of 103.69 males per female, while Nigeria has 102.41. China shows a higher proportion of males, which can affect marriage markets, labor force composition, and social dynamics. These ratios reflect various factors including sex-selective practices, differential mortality rates, and migration patterns.

Comprehensive Demographic Comparison 2025

IndicatorChinaNigeriaDifference / Ratio
Population Metrics
Total Population (2025)1.42B238M6.0x larger
World Population Ranking#2#64 places apart
Population Growth Rate (5-year)-0.14%+2.11%2.25pp difference
Projected Growth (2025-2050)0.00%0.00%0.00pp difference
Age Structure
Median Age41.1 years19.2 years21.9 years older
Youth (0-14) Population15.4%40.5%25.1pp difference
Working Age (15-64) Population69.7%56.4%13.3pp difference
Elderly (65+) Population14.9%3.1%11.8pp difference
Youth Bulge (15-29)17.4%28.6%11.2pp difference
Prime Workforce (25-54)43.3%31.3%12.0pp difference
Demographic Indicators
Total Dependency Ratio43.5%77.3%33.8pp difference
Child Dependency Ratio22.1%71.8%49.7pp difference
Old-Age Dependency Ratio21.4%5.4%16.0pp difference
Sex Ratio (males per 100 females)103.7102.41.3 difference
Total Fertility Rate1.00 children/woman4.42 children/woman3.42 difference
Estimated Birth Rate6.7 per 1,00028.8 per 1,00022.1 difference
Aging Index (65+/0-14)96.8%7.6%89.2pp difference
Population Pyramid TypestationaryexpansiveDifferent types

📊 Understanding the Population Difference Chart

This visualization shows where and by how much the populations differ between China and Nigeria for each age group, split by gender:

Left Side (Males)

Blue = China has more males

Green = Nigeria has more males

Right Side (Females)

Pink = China has more females

Orange = Nigeria has more females

💡 How to Read: Each age group shows up to 2 bars - one on the left (male difference) and one on the right (female difference). The bar's color tells you which country has more people, and the bar's length shows by how much. For example, if you see a green bar on the left, it means Nigeria has more males in that age group.

Notable Differences (>20% variance):

Ages 0-4: China has 38.9% more people
Men: 7.6M more in ChinaWomen: 5.7M more in China
China: 24.9M men, 22.6M womenNigeria: 17.3M men, 16.9M women
Population Ratio
47.5M
34.2M
Ages 5-9: China has 153.0% more people
Men: 26.6M more in ChinaWomen: 21.9M more in China
China: 42.7M men, 37.6M womenNigeria: 16.1M men, 15.6M women
Population Ratio
80.3M
31.7M
Ages 10-14: China has 198.4% more people
Men: 33.1M more in ChinaWomen: 26.9M more in China
China: 48.5M men, 41.8M womenNigeria: 15.4M men, 14.9M women
Population Ratio
90.3M
30.3M
Ages 15-19: China has 215.2% more people
Men: 32.0M more in ChinaWomen: 25.8M more in China
China: 45.7M men, 39.0M womenNigeria: 13.7M men, 13.2M women
Population Ratio
84.7M
26.9M
Ages 20-24: China has 245.8% more people
Men: 30.9M more in ChinaWomen: 25.1M more in China
China: 42.5M men, 36.3M womenNigeria: 11.6M men, 11.2M women
Population Ratio
78.8M
22.8M
Ages 25-29: China has 353.5% more people
Men: 35.1M more in ChinaWomen: 29.5M more in China
China: 44.4M men, 38.4M womenNigeria: 9.3M men, 9.0M women
Population Ratio
82.8M
18.3M
Ages 30-34: China has 550.3% more people
Men: 44.4M more in ChinaWomen: 39.0M more in China
China: 52.1M men, 46.5M womenNigeria: 7.7M men, 7.5M women
Population Ratio
98.6M
15.2M
Ages 35-39: China has 843.5% more people
Men: 56.8M more in ChinaWomen: 51.9M more in China
China: 63.3M men, 58.2M womenNigeria: 6.5M men, 6.4M women
Population Ratio
121.5M
12.9M
Ages 40-44: China has 808.9% more people
Men: 47.0M more in ChinaWomen: 44.3M more in China
China: 52.7M men, 49.8M womenNigeria: 5.7M men, 5.6M women
Population Ratio
102.5M
11.3M
Ages 45-49: China has 875.0% more people
Men: 42.3M more in ChinaWomen: 40.6M more in China
China: 47.1M men, 45.3M womenNigeria: 4.8M men, 4.7M women
Population Ratio
92.4M
9.5M
Ages 50-54: China has 1467.9% more people
Men: 54.4M more in ChinaWomen: 53.4M more in China
China: 58.0M men, 57.0M womenNigeria: 3.7M men, 3.7M women
Population Ratio
115.1M
7.3M
Ages 55-59: China has 1973.8% more people
Men: 55.3M more in ChinaWomen: 55.7M more in China
China: 58.1M men, 58.6M womenNigeria: 2.8M men, 2.8M women
Population Ratio
116.7M
5.6M
Ages 60-64: China has 2070.2% more people
Men: 43.9M more in ChinaWomen: 45.5M more in China
China: 46.0M men, 47.7M womenNigeria: 2.1M men, 2.2M women
Population Ratio
93.7M
4.3M
Ages 65-69: China has 2114.3% more people
Men: 31.9M more in ChinaWomen: 35.0M more in China
China: 33.4M men, 36.7M womenNigeria: 1.5M men, 1.6M women
Population Ratio
70.1M
3.2M
Ages 70-74: China has 3001.9% more people
Men: 28.8M more in ChinaWomen: 34.3M more in China
China: 29.8M men, 35.4M womenNigeria: 995K men, 1.1M women
Population Ratio
65.1M
2.1M
Ages 75-79: China has 3113.9% more people
Men: 16.8M more in ChinaWomen: 21.1M more in China
China: 17.3M men, 21.7M womenNigeria: 573K men, 642K women
Population Ratio
39.1M
1.2M
Ages 80-84: China has 3569.3% more people
Men: 8.7M more in ChinaWomen: 12.1M more in China
China: 8.9M men, 12.4M womenNigeria: 274K men, 309K women
Population Ratio
21.4M
583K
Ages 85-89: China has 5690.0% more people
Men: 4.0M more in ChinaWomen: 6.8M more in China
China: 4.1M men, 6.9M womenNigeria: 86K men, 104K women
Population Ratio
11.0M
189K
Ages 90-94: China has 10543.4% more people
Men: 1.1M more in ChinaWomen: 2.7M more in China
China: 1.2M men, 2.7M womenNigeria: 15K men, 21K women
Population Ratio
3.9M
37K
Ages 95-99: China has 17133.4% more people
Men: 127K more in ChinaWomen: 512K more in China
China: 128K men, 514K womenNigeria: 1K men, 2K women
Population Ratio
643K
4K
Ages 100+: China has 24183.5% more people
Men: 4K more in ChinaWomen: 45K more in China
China: 4K men, 45K womenNigeria: 53 men, 147 women
Population Ratio
49K
200
195020252025

Population Difference

1178.6M

China larger

Growth Since 1950

China

+160.3%

Nigeria

+537.1%

Population Ratio

1 : 0.17

China : Nigeria

Total Population

China

1.42B

Nigeria

237.5M

Difference: +496.2%

Median Age

China

41.1 years

Nigeria

19.2 years

Difference: +21.9

Youth Population (0-14)

China

218.2M

15.4%

Nigeria

96.2M

40.5%

Difference: +126.7%

Working Age (15-64)

China

986.8M

69.7%

Nigeria

134.0M

56.4%

Difference: +636.4%

Elderly Population (65+)

China

211.2M

14.9%

Nigeria

7.3M

3.1%

Difference: +2796.2%

Total Dependency Ratio

China

43.5 per 100

Nigeria

77.3 per 100

Difference: -33.8

Youth Dependency Ratio

China

22.1 per 100

Nigeria

71.8 per 100

Difference: -49.7

Old-Age Dependency Ratio

China

21.4 per 100

Nigeria

5.4 per 100

Difference: +16.0

Sex Ratio

China

103.7 M/100F

Nigeria

102.4 M/100F

Difference: +1.3

Note: Dependency ratios represent the number of dependents (youth + elderly) per 100 working-age individuals. Higher ratios indicate greater economic burden on the working population.

Current Gap
3.42
births per woman
Below Replacement Level
China
Population decline risk
2030 Projection Gap
2.92
Nigeria above replacement

Note: The replacement fertility rate of 2.1 is the level at which a population exactly replaces itself from one generation to the next.Both countries are experiencing demographic transitions as they develop economically. Countries below 2.1 face potential population decline without immigration, while those above 2.1 continue growing naturally.

🏆

Historic Milestone: 2023

Nigeria became the world's most populous country, ending China's centuries-long reign

China: 75-Year Journey

1950 Population:544M
2025 Population:1.42B
Total Growth:+872M (160.3%)
Peak Year:2021 (Started declining)

Nigeria: 75-Year Journey

1950 Population:37M
2025 Population:238M
Total Growth:+200M (537.1%)
Projected Peak:Still growing

Growth Rate by Period

1950-1975
China: 2.11%/yr
Nigeria: 2.15%/yr
1975-2000
China: 1.31%/yr
Nigeria: 2.80%/yr
2000-2025
China: 0.44%/yr
Nigeria: 2.56%/yr

Frequently Asked Questions

India officially overtook China as the world's most populous country in April 2023, according to United Nations estimates. This historic shift ended China's long reign as the world's most populous nation, a position it had held for centuries. As of 2025, India has 237.5 million people compared to China's 1.42 billion, a gap of -1,178,568,316 people.