China vs Nigeria: Population Comparison 2026
China has 1,170,482,257 more people than Nigeria (5.8× as many): 1.41 billion vs 242.4 million in 2026. Median age is 40.6 in China and 18.3 in Nigeria; fertility is 1.03 vs 4.21 children per woman.
China
2026- Median age
- 40.6
- Fertility (TFR)
- 1.03
- Working age (15–64)
- 70.1%
- Trend
- Declining (-0.22%)
Nigeria
2026- Median age
- 18.3
- Fertility (TFR)
- 4.21
- Working age (15–64)
- 56.9%
- Trend
- Growing (+2.06%)
Population pyramids, 2026
Total Population
China
1412.9M
Nigeria
242.4M
Youth (0-14)
China
14.8%
Nigeria
40.0%
Elderly (65+)
China
15.1%
Nigeria
3.1%
Where the two pyramids differ
The pyramids are overlaid so you can read the difference by age and sex: the longer bar in each band marks the country with more people of that age.
📊 Understanding the Population Difference Chart
This visualization shows where and by how much the populations differ between China and Nigeria for each age group, split by gender:
Left Side (Males)
Blue = China has more males
Green = Nigeria has more males
Right Side (Females)
Pink = China has more females
Orange = Nigeria has more females
💡 How to Read: Each age group shows up to 2 bars - one on the left (male difference) and one on the right (female difference). The bar's color tells you which country has more people, and the bar's length shows by how much. For example, if you see a green bar on the left, it means Nigeria has more males in that age group.
Notable Differences (>20% variance):
Demographic comparison, 2026
| Indicator | China | Nigeria | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population (2026) | 1,412,914,088 | 242,431,831 | China has 1.17 billion more (5.8×) |
| Change 2025–2026 | -0.2% (Declining) | +2.1% (Growing) | |
| Median age (2026) | 40.6 | 18.3 | China older by 22.3 yrs |
| Total fertility rate | 1.03 — 1.07 below replacement | 4.21 — 2.10 above replacement | |
| Fertility rate, 2030 (UN projection) | 1.06 | 3.82 | |
| Birth rate (per 1,000) | 6.1 | 31.8 | |
| Population 2050 (UN projection) | 1.26 billion (-10.8%) | 359.2 million (+48.2%) | |
| Peak population | Peaks 2021 | Peaks 2100 |
Differences by age group, 2026
| Age | China (M / F) | Nigeria (M / F) | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 23622K / 21432K | 17540K / 17102K | China has 30.1% more people aged 0-4 |
| 5-9 | 39076K / 34560K | 16102K / 15639K | China has 132.0% more people aged 5-9 |
| 10-14 | 48504K / 41971K | 15573K / 15055K | China has 195.4% more people aged 10-14 |
| 15-19 | 46340K / 39578K | 14062K / 13537K | China has 211.3% more people aged 15-19 |
| 20-24 | 42415K / 36142K | 12091K / 11644K | China has 231.0% more people aged 20-24 |
| 25-29 | 43779K / 37771K | 9611K / 9272K | China has 331.9% more people aged 25-29 |
| 30-34 | 49168K / 43509K | 7896K / 7617K | China has 497.4% more people aged 30-34 |
| 35-39 | 63689K / 58292K | 6653K / 6460K | China has 830.2% more people aged 35-39 |
| 40-44 | 54302K / 51171K | 5799K / 5651K | China has 821.1% more people aged 40-44 |
| 45-49 | 47164K / 45301K | 4920K / 4821K | China has 849.2% more people aged 45-49 |
| 50-54 | 55143K / 54078K | 3829K / 3808K | China has 1330.1% more people aged 50-54 |
| 55-59 | 59034K / 59415K | 2891K / 2921K | China has 1938.1% more people aged 55-59 |
| 60-64 | 50868K / 52813K | 2175K / 2268K | China has 2233.9% more people aged 60-64 |
| 65-69 | 31394K / 34434K | 1566K / 1686K | China has 1924.2% more people aged 65-69 |
| 70-74 | 30704K / 36375K | 1027K / 1136K | China has 3000.3% more people aged 70-74 |
| 75-79 | 18688K / 23697K | 583K / 658K | China has 3314.8% more people aged 75-79 |
| 80-84 | 9335K / 13004K | 283K / 318K | China has 3617.5% more people aged 80-84 |
| 85-89 | 4220K / 7092K | 89K / 107K | China has 5673.4% more people aged 85-89 |
| 90-94 | 1221K / 2877K | 16K / 22K | China has 10639.8% more people aged 90-94 |
| 95-99 | 138K / 546K | 1K / 3K | China has 17461.5% more people aged 95-99 |
| 100+ | 4K / 48K | 0K / 0K | China has 25243.3% more people aged 100+ |
Frequently Asked Questions
Which has more people, China or Nigeria?
China has more: 1.41 billion vs 242.4 million in 2026 — 5.8× as many, 1.17 billion more people.
Which country is older?
China, with a median age of 40.6 vs 18.3 in Nigeria (2026).
Which has higher fertility?
Nigeria, at 4.21 children per woman vs 1.03 in China. Replacement is 2.1, so both are compared against it.
How will China and Nigeria compare in 2050?
By 2050 the UN projects China at 1.26 billion (-10.8% from 2026) and Nigeria at 359.2 million (+48.2%).
Are China and Nigeria growing or shrinking?
China is declining (-0.2% in 2026); Nigeria is growing (+2.1%).